Iowa Could Make or Break Democrats

[DeepModem Mom]

NYT/AP: Iowa Could Make or Break Democrats
By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
Published: December 29, 2007

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) -- Iowa could make or break a Democratic candidate on Thursday. The question is, who?

While the state has long played a key role in choosing the Democratic presidential nominee, it has unparalleled influence this year, even after several larger states moved up their contests to try and muscle in. Those efforts have done little more than compress the calendar into a five-week sprint that ends with the multistate primary Feb. 5 -- strengthening Iowa's position as the leadoff caucus state rather than diminishing it. Even New Hampshire, which holds the first primary of the season, has seen its once-mighty position diminished somewhat by Iowa's outsized role this time.

Hillary Rodham Clinton, Barack Obama and John Edwards are locked in a tight three-way contest in Iowa just days before voters attend their precinct caucuses on Thursday. And while all three have strong organizations in other early states, the best laid plans in those places could come apart depending on what happens in Iowa.

Only Obama and Clinton have raised enough campaign cash to be sure of being competitive through Feb. 5 and beyond. Edwards has agreed to accept federal matching funds, which will constrain the amount of money he is allowed to spend in each state.

Trailing in the polls, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden and Chris Dodd have also concentrated nearly all their resources in Iowa in hopes of scoring an upset....

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IOWA -- Jan 3 (45 pledged delegates)

All six major Democratic candidates will blitz the state before next Thursday's caucuses. Hundreds of staff and volunteers from each campaign will flood likely caucus goers with mail, visits and phone calls. The television airwaves have been saturated for weeks with advertising.

Clinton, who has struggled in Iowa despite leading the field in national and most other state polls, has the most riding on the outcome here. A win could fuel a wave of momentum for the former first lady, while a loss, particularly to Obama, would shatter the notion of inevitability she has tried to project. The New York senator is barnstorming the state and has deployed dozens of surrogates including her husband, former President Bill Clinton. Her closing argument -- ''It's time to pick a president'' -- underscores her central message: A candidate like Obama may inspire and move voters, but Clinton is the best prepared to actually do the job.

Obama and Edwards are competing to be the strongest ''anti-Clinton'' candidate in the field. Both are promising to bring fundamental change to Washington. Edwards' base of support lies with caucus goers who were with him when he ran for president in 2004. Obama and Clinton are competing for newcomers -- hers are mostly older and female, his are younger and male.

Spending by outside groups has added a new dimension to the contest. EMILY'S List, AFSCME and the American Federation of Teachers are coordinating to boost Clinton through mail, TV and phone banks, while Edwards is receiving assistance from labor-backed groups headed by his 2004 campaign manager. Obama has called on Edwards to ask the groups to cease their work in Iowa, and privately Obama's advisers fret that he is being hurt by the influx of spending on the other candidates' behalf.

http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/us/AP-DEMS-Road-to-the-Nomination.html?_r=1&oref=login

[iamjoy]

1. Other States Should Just Cancel Their Primaries

and let Iowa pick.

that's pretty much the way the media makes it sound.

[derby378]

2. Texas has more electoral votes than Iowa...

Seriously, one of these days Texas needs to go first in the primary season. I've got nothing against Iowans, but why should they have all the fun?

[mitchtv]

3. I feel like that too

how's about they kiss some Calif ass for a change? They visit a lot to go to expensive fundraisers. Rotating regional primaries is the solution

[LiberalFighter]

4. They write this as if this isn't what it is suppose to do?

The purpose of primaries is to weed out the candidates.


Who is the dumbass writing this crap for the AP?