Stock Market prediction for April

[ThomWV]

This will be the best month for the Dow in years, but it will not be the best month this year.

[Cali_Democrat]

1. I think the market will consolidate and stay neutral this month

I will put on an SPX iron condor option spread by selling 1250/1270 call and 1100/1080 put.

Looking to make about $1500 if the SPX stays between 1250 and 1100.

I made a killing last month.

[nevergiveup]

2. I am thinking "significant correction".

Dow down to 9200 but recovering back to 10500 by November. I am also predicting gas at $4.00 by July. I am also thinking US advances to Quarter Finals in World Cup. I am also guessing this is more than you probably wanted.

[doc03]

3. You are sure a bundle of optimism aren't

you. :sarcasm:

[TheWatcher]

7. Well, someone has to counteract the almost hysterical denial and unadulterated wilfull ignorance.

Balance, people, BALANCE.

[TheWatcher]

8. Delete. Dupe.

[safeinOhio]

4. Hey, if I knew what was going to happen with the dow

I could retire today. Only I retired 8 years ago, so never mind.

[TheWatcher]

10. If The Dow had any relation whatsoever to The Real Economy anymore we'd all be rich

and living in a Rose-Colored World of permanent prosperity.

Which is kind of the way an alarming percentage of the Public, due to an almost monolithically brilliant Perception Management Campaign, is living anyway.

Well, almost.

Without the rich part.

Viva Recovery!!!!!1111111

:crazy:

[sharesunited]

5. We have been on a sniffing glue high for weeks, and there is swiss cheese under us.

[TexasObserver]

6. Why?

[KharmaTrain]

9. Steady Gains...

The market has been hovering around 10,500 for 6 months and there are signs that money that's been sitting on the sidelines may be ready to move back in...but slowly...cherry picking sectors and bargains rather than a big rush. We could see the Dow creep up 50 points a month...some days good, others bad, but a steady climb. The combination of downsizing, outsourcing and low inventories are the catalyst here...and doesn't do much for those looking for a job.

The debt bomb and tight credit are still stifling investment that creates jobs. It's going to take a while to clear up the debt and get investment money flowing...and why serious financial reform is needed now...long overdue.

[TheWatcher]

11. Ahhhhh, "money on the sidelines." One of my all time CNBC favorites

I think if we all admitted it to ourselves we'd confess we like it best when Maria B. says it though.

Something about those sincere Doe Eyes, the Collagen Zeppelin Lips, the genuine delivery of honest conviction.

But I digress.

Sorry, just yanking your chain there. :) Propaganda overload this week.

"The combination of downsizing, outsourcing and low inventories are the catalyst here...and doesn't do much for those looking for a job.

The debt bomb and tight credit are still stifling investment that creates jobs. It's going to take a while to clear up the debt and get investment money flowing...and why serious financial reform is needed now...long overdue."

THIS, I agree with.

But I hate to break it to you, when criminals run the system, a system that by their own DESIGN and machinations is based on corruption, fraud, fiscal insanity, and the very essence that CAUSES these Bubbles and busts to begin with, well, serious financial reform is about as likely as the St. Louis Rams going 16-0 this year, or ANY year. (Sorry Rams Fans. You were once the Greatest Show On Turf, and now you are an analogy.)

The Foxes give up their Hen House Guard Duty?

Not, I Say, Not Likely, son.

As for the The Stock Market, well it is in another Unsustainable Bubble, just like 98-2000, and 2003-2008.

It has become nothing more that a glorified, artificially manipulated Casino of HFT, Program Trading, Momentum Speculation, and fabricated fantasy that really has little to do with the Real Economy. (I know, I know, conspiracy kookery, doesn't exist, I want the economy to fail, blah, blah, blah)

And it will collapse again.

It could be this year, it could be two years from now.

But it will happen.

And then all the little lambs will scream "SAVE US, BEN AND TIMMY, SAVE US!!!!!!!!!!!!!!11111", and the very criminals that helped cause the Crisis will ride in with more "Solutions", and the rest of us will bend over and take it again, so that their precious Ponzi Economic Model of Fiscal Insanity can be preserved, at the expense of, well, everything else.

And we will let them.

And then the WHOLE cycle will start again.

IF they can reflate everything.

Let's face it, if we knew the hard truth, there isn't any other choice, probably.

Bubble Economics is the only way this country can even continue to exist in it's current form.

And the only way an idiot like Maria B. could ever have a job outside of a Fast Food Drive-Through. :rofl:

[KharmaTrain]

13. Sorry, Not Familiar With CNBC...

Never found them to be credible as they made a fortune taking money from speculative investment houses and helped make those bubbles you so aptly describe happen. Anyone who takes their advice probably was wiped out when the market crashed...but it does serve as the "house organ" of Wall Street.

Markets will always rise and fall...no matter how the currency is manipulated, there will be those who push the envelope, play the margins and when they are successful others follow. Yes, it becomes a gambling casino and as long as someone plays with their own money, so be it. Regulation is important but there hasn't been any real enforcement for 30 years...it's long overdue but that still doesn't fix the systemic problems of our "core economy"...the one that puts people to work.

The bottom line is the economy relies on a strong business sector that creates the jobs and the consumers that buy the products. Simple capitalism that got out of whack. Personal debt finally caught up with the consumers and the speculation and detaching true earnings with stock prices have bankrupted many corporations. Reregulating...such as restoring Glass-Steagal and changing the regulatory structure from protecting the corporates back to the investors is a first step, but this process will be long and painful.

[Change Happens]

12. So far this year up 5%, if Apr is another 5%, then more good months to come?

What is your yearly prediction for the S&P 500 then?

[ThomWV]

14. Probably in the 12~14% realm - so far my S&P 500 Index fund is up 6.1% for the year.