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Edited on Wed Nov-03-10 10:59 AM by TexasObserver
I don't expect year end levels to be dramatically different than today, which has seen almost no change in the first two hours today. I felt the markets would respond generally positively no matter how the elections turned out, and expect that positive trend to be apparent in the next two months. Using the DOW as one indicator, I expect it be above 11,000 on January 1, 2011, and above 12,000 on January 1, 2012.
But in the first quarter and maybe the second quarter of next year, we could see some real stuttering in the recovery, such as is it. Tight money and concern about budget deficits will not fuel the economy. More tax breaks will not fuel the economy.
If the GOP is too weird when they take control of the House, they could spook the economy and if that happens, we'll probably see a decline for several months.
But as far as jobs go, who knows? Will the GOP cooperate on jobs legislation? Probably not.
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